![]() The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation jointly propose these recommendations. These issues were carefully designed in a compelling narrative that educated the participants and the audience. The exercise consisted of pre-recorded news broadcasts, live “staff” briefings, and moderated discussions on specific topics. 15 global business, government, and public health leaders were players in the simulation exercise that highlighted unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.Įvent 201 was a 3.5-hour pandemic tabletop exercise that simulated a series of dramatic, scenario-based facilitated discussions, confronting difficult, true-to-life dilemmas associated with response to a hypothetical, but scientifically plausible, pandemic. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global-a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. Managing these events already strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, economies, and society. In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events, amounting to approximately 200 events annually. Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise The exercise illustrated areas where public/private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic in order to diminish large-scale economic and societal consequences. To illustrate this spread further, below is a map showing new COVID-19 cases in every city and town for every 3 months since March 2020.The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The spikes in new cases in Central Visayas (blue dashed line) in mid-2020 and in the first quarter of 2021 are also shown in the chart, as well as the wave of new cases in Western Visayas (red dashed line) that peaked around September 2020, and in Davao Region (yellow dotted line) that peaked around January 2021. The averages are likewise high in nearby Calabarzon (orange solid line) and Central Luzon (green solid line). ![]() Going by the 7-day average of new cases per region, Metro Manila (red solid line in the chart) is the top source of new cases. The last time this happened was around September and October 2020. In recent days, Metro Manila has been seeing new cases in the thousands again. Meanwhile, the detection and local transmission of the United Kingdom variant in Mountain Province put the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR) on high alert. In early 2021, an uptick in cases took place again in Cebu City and surrounding areas after the holidays. In the last quarter of 2020 and well into February 2021, there was a substantial number of cases in Mindanao (yellow shade), mostly in Davao City. Most new cases have usually been reported from virus epicenter Metro Manila (green shade in the chart) and Luzon (in red shade).Īround June 2020, cases surged in the Visayas (blue shade), especially in Cebu City, briefly turning it into the country’s second virus epicenter. ![]() ![]() The chart above shows the share of new cases in each major area in the country per day since March 2020. ![]()
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